6-7 AI Predictions from subject matter expert Gary Marcus - and a look back at his past 2025 predictions

https://open.spotify.com/episode/0e3laeUpeMA9UloFXrLkxr?si=4610a3adc7124848 

In this article, Gary Marcus evaluates the accuracy of his previous AI forecasts while presenting twenty-five new expectations for 2025. He contends that the industry is hitting a technical plateau, noting that current models still struggle with reasoning, hallucinations, and physical logic. Marcus anticipates that artificial general intelligence will remain out of reach this year, as the economic returns for software developers fail to match the massive hype. He further suggests that investor enthusiasm may finally cool as the limits of scaling laws become more apparent to the public. Additionally, the text highlights concerns regarding regulatory gaps, increasing energy demands, and the ongoing legal battles over copyrighted training data.